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☆ 4 reasons why the S&P 500 has another 5% upside this year, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The ongoing S&P 500 rally could extend to 5,500 this year, UBS said. Tech earnings have remained strong, with ex-Mag 7 tech firm profits revised 7% higher since March. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementWith last month's equity jitters already quashed, the ongoing rebound is the start of an extensive summer rally, UBS said. According to a note published Tuesday, the S&P 500 could reach the firm's upside scenario of 5,500 by this year's end.

Persons: Disinflation, —, Marcelli, That's Organizations: UBS, Tech, Service, Global Wealth Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple

☆ European stocks head for lower open as global markets await U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

European stocks are heading for a lower open Tuesday as global investors await the latest U.S. inflation reports. April's consumer price index report is due out on Wednesday and economists expect that it rose 0.4% in April on a month-over-month basis, or 3.4% from 12 months earlier. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets pared gains hours after opening higher on Tuesday as stocks on Wall Street stumbled Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping an eight-day winning streak. U.S. stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening as Wall Street braced itself for the release of the producer price index reading for April on Tuesday. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate that the PPI gained 0.3% from the previous month.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Traders, Federal, Dow Jones, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street readies for key inflation report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed as Wall Street braced for April's consumer price index. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 17 points, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.32%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect the consumer price index to show a 0.4% monthly gain, or a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy. Tuesday's producer price index for April contributed to that narrative, showing a 0.5% gain in wholesale prices, above the 0.3% estimate from Dow Jones.

Persons: Nextracker, Dow Jones, Tom Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Federal, Dow, Fundstrat Global, Cisco Systems Locations: New York City

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors brace for key inflation reports: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening as Wall Street braced for the release of key inflation reports. S&P 500 futures inched down 0.02%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.08%. Another market catalyst will emerge Tuesday morning as the first of two key inflation reports will be released. "It's not unusual for Wall Street and Main Street to see the economy differently — the different perspective stems from different points of focus. Stock market movements are based on expectations of future economic performance, not necessarily current conditions," said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Brent Schutte Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, New York Federal Reserve, PPI, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management

☆ MrBeast's breakup with his talent manager is a wakeup call that influencers won't always need middlemen
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Lindsay Dodgson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

YouTube star MrBeast has parted ways with his talent manager after six years. AdvertisementMrBeast broke up with his talent manager of six years, and it's a wake-up call. YouTube's biggest star striking out alone could signal that creators may not always need middlemen. "He's just taking control of his brand," Varbanova said. An in-house team would likely have a narrower network than a talent agency and be able to offer less support with other tasks.

Persons: MrBeast, —, Jimmy Donaldson, Donaldson, Reed Duchscher, Semafor, Duchscher, Donaldson's, influencers, Nikita Walia, Walia, Katya Varbanova, Gleam, Alfie Deyes, Jim Chapman —, Raff McDonald, Varbanova, Burger, He's, It's, he's, Courtney Bagby Lupilin, Lupilin, doesn't Organizations: Service, Night Media, Bloomberg, Blank, Inc, YouTube, Little Red Management Locations: Dallas, —

☆ Cocoa prices tumble 19%, giving up a chunk of their record-setting gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

A farmers holds cocoa beans while he is drying them at a village in Sinfra, Ivory Coast, on April 29, 2023. Cocoa prices dropped more than 19% on Monday, giving up a large part of the strong gains that lifted them to all-time highs earlier this year. Prices last traded at around $7,175, after dropping about $1,700 per metric ton. Earlier in the year, cocoa futures hit a record of $11,722 per metric ton. Cocoa prices soared this year amid a shortage of cocoa beans due to supply disruptions, including heavy rains and disease.

Locations: Sinfra, Ivory Coast

☆ A Hong Kong-based crypto exchange used deepfakes of Elon Musk to claim the billionaire was its lead developer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Kenneth Niemeyer | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission issued a warning last week about deepfake scams. Related storiesAs the technology behind artificial intelligence advances, scammers are increasingly using deepfakes to dupe their victims into handing over cash. The group in Hong Kong claimed to provide a cryptocurrency trading service using underlying artificial intelligence. But Hong Kong authorities said they suspect it is a front for "virtual asset related fraudulent activities." The Hong Kong Police Force did not return a request for comment from BI.

Persons: —, Elon, Elon Musk Organizations: Service, Facebook, The Hong Kong Securities, Futures Commission, Business, Yahoo, Authorities, Hong, Crypto News, Hong Kong Police Force Locations: The, Hong Kong, South Korean

☆ Stock futures are little changed after Dow's best week of the year, investors look toward inflation data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were little changed on Sunday, with Wall Street looking toward fresh inflation data this week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors will look for insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy moving forward with April's consumer price index report due out on Wednesday. Results so far have helped stocks remain resilient despite the inflation overhang. 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported as of Friday, with neatly 80% of firms surpassing Wall Street forecasts, per FactSet data.

Persons: Dow, Venu Krishna Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Traders, Fed, Wall, Barclays Locations: New York City

☆ S&P 500 rebounds to less than 1% from a record after orderly three-week pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.

Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital

☆ Japan stocks lead gains in Asia markets as renewed rate cut hopes lift sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Cherry trees in bloom near the Nippon Budokan in Tokyo, Japan, on Sunday, April 7, 2024. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesJapan led gains in Asia-Pacific markets on Friday after stronger-than-expected, year-on-year consumer spending data, and as renewed rate cut hopes by the U.S. Federal Reserve bolster market sentiment. Japan's overall household spending in March fell 1.2% year on year, less than the 2.4% expected by a Reuters poll of economists. However, on a month-on-month basis, household spending rose 1.2%, compared with estimates of a 0.3% drop. Should the index reach the futures level, it would be its highest in about nine months.

Persons: Cherry, Kospi Organizations: Nippon Budokan, Bloomberg, Getty Images Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific

☆ Sports gambling is taking a cue from Wall Street, and it could be a problem for sportsbooks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're looking at how a sports bettor trying to hedge a $1.7 million payout shows the gambling world is taking a page out of Wall Street's book . The big storySports gambling goes Wall StreetiStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIHow would you like to turn $100 into $1.7 million in a little over a year? Thanks to a secondary market for gambling tickets, Shelton could sell his ticket to another bettor. And not unlike Wall Street's feelings about retail traders, Shelton is the type of gambler sportsbooks love. Unlike mom-and-pop gamblers who often bet on a whim, so-called sharps' systematic approach to gambling can pose a problem for sportsbooks.

Persons: —, Rebecca Zisser, Wayne Shelton, Shelton, Matthew Fox, Anthony Edwards, Joshua Gateley, sportsbooks, Shelton's longshot, Goldman Sachs, Sam Bankman, Fried, Puck, SBF, Justin Sullivan, Getty Sundar Pichai, Pichai, Jack Dorsey, he'd, Mike Solana, Dorsey, Bluesky, Demis, Microsoft's Mustafa Suleyman, they'd, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Sports, MLB, NFL, NBA, Oklahoma City Thunder, Thunder, Dallas Mavericks, Western Conference, ESPN, Boston Celtics, Minnesota Timberwolves, Getty, Detention, MDC, Bloomberg, Bay Area, YouTube, Spotify, Apple, Warner Brothers, Justice League, Big, Honda Locations: China, Russia, Brooklyn's, Young, New York City, New York, Bay, London

☆ Treasury yields pause for breath as traders digest strong jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The 2-year Treasury yield, meanwhile, was marginally higher at 4.819%. U.S. Treasury yields were broadly flat early Friday as traders digested the jump in weekly jobless claims and what this could mean for interest rates. Relief at the auction outcome means traders are now firmly focused — once again — on the interest rate trajectory of the Federal Reserve. Weekly initial jobless claims, released Thursday, hit their highest level since August 2023, coming in at 231,000. It comes after the Bank of England on Thursday held interest rates as expected, but raised expectations of a cut in June.

Persons: —, Henry Allen, Treasurys, Dallas, Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, Goolsbee, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Bank of England Locations: U.S, Minneapolis

☆ Oil prices up on stronger Chinese data, Middle East conflict
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices rose on Friday, continuing upwards trend on the signs of improving economy in China and as negotiations to halt hostilities in the stand-off between Israel and Hamas yielded no results. In the previous session, oil prices edged up to a one-week high on data of rising crude oil imports in China in April and as investors saw the cooling U.S. job market as an indication of possible interest rate cuts. China's exports and imports returned to growth in April after contracting in the previous month, signaling an improvement in demand. "Ongoing signs of strength in demand in China should see commodity market remain well supported," ANZ Research said in a note. Daly did not say if she felt the U.S. central bank was likely or not to cut interest rates this year.

Persons: Brent, Mary Daly, Daly, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden's Organizations: U.S, West Texas, ANZ Research, San Francisco Federal, Financial Locations: China, Israel, U.S, Rafah, Gaza, Cairo

☆ Asia markets mixed ahead of China trade data and Japan pay figures
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yaorusheng | Moment | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were mixed ahead of China's April trade data, as well as pay statistics from Japan. Economists polled by Reuters are expecting a 1.5% rise in China's exports, a reversal from the 7.5% fall in March. Imports are also expected to grow 4.8% year-on-year in April, compared with a 1.9% fall in March. Separately, investors will assess pay statistics from Japan as they look for any signs of the "virtuous cycle" of increasing wages and prices envisioned by the Bank of Japan. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 18,277, pointing to a weaker open compared to the HSI's close of 18,313.86.

Persons: Korea's Kospi Organizations: Reuters, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Shanghai, Asia, Pacific, Japan

☆ Stock futures are little changed after Dow notches seven-day win streak: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 8, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed on Thursday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its longest win streak going back to December. S&P 500 futures climbed 0.09%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.1%. The S&P 500 gained 0.51%, closing above 5,200 for the first time since early April. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were higher by 1.7% and 1.2%, respectively.

Persons: Dow, Chris Hyzy, Stocks, Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, Dallas, Minneapolis, Chicago

☆ Weekly jobless claims jump to 231,000, the highest since August
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Initial filings for unemployment benefits hit their highest level since late August 2023 in a potential sign that an otherwise robust labor market is changing. Also, job openings have been declining amid expectations that the labor market is likely to slow through the year. The four-week moving average of claims, which helps smooth out weekly volatility in numbers, increased to 215,000, up 4,750 from the previous week. "One week does not a trend make, but we can no longer be sure that calm seas lie ahead for the US economy if today's weekly jobless claims are any indication." Markets reacted little to the jobless claims release, with stock market futures slightly negative and Treasury yields mixed.

Persons: Dow Jones, Christopher Rupkey, Robert Frick Organizations: Labor Department, Navy Federal Credit Union Locations: New York

☆ Wheat prices have surged to 8-month highs amid global conflict and extreme weather
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Wheat prices have surged over the past month, climbing to their highest level since August. Higher wheat prices could stoke inflation, which is already running hotter than expected in the US. AdvertisementWheat prices have soared to their highest level in eight months thanks to a series of disruptions stemming from geopolitical conflict and extreme weather events. Russia has attacked key grain hubs in Ukraine, which caused wheat prices to skyrocket in 2023. Higher wheat prices could stoke inflation, which has clocked in hotter-than-expected in the US for the last three months.

Persons: — Organizations: stoke, Service, Bloomberg Locations: Chicago, Europe, Ukraine, Russia, Australia

☆ Oil rises on U.S. crude storage draw, Fed rate cut hopes
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

An oil pump jack at the New Harmony Oil Field in Grayville, Illinois, US, on Sunday, June 19, 2022. Oil prices rose in early trade on Thursday as shrinking U.S. crude inventories signaled tighter supply, and amid rising hopes that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by the end of the year. Crude inventories dropped last week by 1.4 million barrels to 459.5 million barrels, according to the Energy Information Administration, more than analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.1 million-barrel draw as refinery activity increased. Increasing expectations that the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates by year end after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data also boosted oil prices. Lower interest rates can increase spending on crude oil.

Organizations: New Harmony Oil, Federal Reserve, Brent, . West Texas, Energy Information Administration, EIA Locations: Grayville , Illinois, U.S, Gaza, Israel

☆ European markets head for higher open; BoE rate decision ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

European markets are heading for a higher open Thursday, maintaining positive momentum in a busy week of earnings. Ferrovial, Telefonica, EDP, Enel, Pirelli and Salvatore Ferragamo are all due to report today. Elsewhere, the Bank of England is set to publish its latest interest rate decision Thursday. China stocks rose overnight as its imports surged past estimates and exports rose in line with expectations, while the broader Asia-Pacific market was mixed. Meanwhile, futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near the flatline Wednesday evening after the 30-stock index posted its sixth consecutive winning day.

Persons: Salvatore Ferragamo, it's Organizations: Ferrovial, Telefonica, EDP, Enel, Pirelli, Bank of England, Dow Jones Locations: China, Asia, Pacific

☆ Stock market today: Indexes mixed as jobless claims jump to highest since August
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Initial claims climbed to 231,000 last week, marking the highest level since August. A handful of disappointing earnings results have come at the tail end of an otherwise upbeat season. AdvertisementMajor stock indexes were mixed on Thursday as traders mulled a fresh job report that showed the labor market cooling. A handful of disappointing earnings reports have capped off what's otherwise been a fairly upbeat earnings season. Markets will be tuned into more Fed speakers Thursday and Friday.

Persons: Stocks, —, Mary Daly, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Warner Bros, San Francisco Fed, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Here's

☆ 'Biggest investment opportunity': Investment manager names stocks to play the copper market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Will McDonough, CEO of merchant bank Corestone Capital, says he has "not seen this level of interest and conversation on copper." "Any population growth or industrial growth leads to growth in copper demand. And with the whole battery and electrification movement, there is going to be so much demand for lithium and copper that the company can benefit from," the investment manager said. Copper futures Aside from stocks, McDonough suggests buying copper futures as a good way to play the opportunities in the copper market and the rising demand for the metal. "I think that the price of copper is way under-appreciated.

Persons: Will McDonough, McDonough, SQM Organizations: CNBC Pro, New York Stock Exchange, Sociedad, Minera de Chile SA, BHP Locations: Minera, Chilean

DavidCallanAsia-Pacific markets are mixed on Wednesday, mirroring moves in Wall Street's Tuesday session. Investors in the region will parse through earnings reports including those of Japanese giants Toyota and Mitsubishi, as well as Singapore's UOB. Traders will also brace for key economic data out of China and Japan on Thursday, with China releasing its April trade data and Japan announcing its March pay statistics. Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.33% on its open, while the broad based Topix was down 0.3%. South Korea's Kospi extended gains and rose 0.1% after leading Asian markets on Tuesday.

Persons: HSI Organizations: Toyota, Mitsubishi, Traders, Nikkei Locations: DavidCallan Asia, Pacific, Wall, China, Japan

☆ Gold slips as dollar firms, traders brood on rate cut timing
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,311.07 per ounce as of 0235 GMT. The dollar index rose 0.1%, making greenback-priced gold more expensive for other currency holders. If the upcoming reports show scary inflation, then the Fed can't cut rates and it will pressure gold, he added. Bullion is used as a hedge against inflation, but higher rates reduce the appeal of holding the non-yielding asset. Markets are currently seeing a 65% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, as per CME's FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Ilya Spivak, Neel Kashkari, Spivak Organizations: University of, Minneapolis Locations: U.S, China's, China

☆ Dow futures are little changed after index posts sixth straight positive day: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near the flatline Wednesday evening after the 30-stock index posted its sixth consecutive winning day. S&P 500 futures hovered near the flatline, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.1%. During regular trading Wednesday, the S&P 500 inched slightly lower to close near the flatline, while the Nasdaq Composite slid about 0.2%. A slate of falling tech stocks weighed on the indexes, including Uber and Shopify , both of which had recently reported quarterly results. Investors will next turn their attention toward quarterly results from Warner Bros Discovery and Akamai Technologies on Thursday.

Persons: Airbnb, Uber, Dow, Josh Brown, we've Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Warner Bros Discovery, Akamai Technologies

"The Fed is the central bank most able to chart its own course," Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst said in a client note Wednesday. It was the first time the Riksbank had cut since 2016 and takes its main policy rate down to 3.75%. The Riksbank's move was the second central bank cut of the year, as the Swiss National Bank reduced its key rate a quarter point in March in what was seen as a surprise action. Reductions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank are expected to come next, possibly within a month. "With the exception of Japan, developed markets are embarking on a program of rate cuts," Hollenhorst said.

Persons: Andrew Hollenhorst, BOE, Mark, Bailey, Citi's Hollenhorst, Christine Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Lagarde, Hollenhorst Organizations: U.S . Federal, Citigroup, Citi, Sweden's, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Japan

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